...we're running into physical limits; the short term shock will be hard.
Those changes have been long in the making; the changes began with the rising costs of energy extraction. Rather than "Peak Oil", we are closer to a "Peak ERoEI" of sorts: for the same Energy Inputs to extract hydrocarbons, our Energy Returns have been steadily decreasing.
https://georgejnasr.wpcomstaging.com/2022/04/04/the-energy-cliff/
The more we progress, the greater the risk of a devolution into a #DimAge Already, our own #technology is growing too complex for us to understand or manage, and scales up faster than our own understanding can keep up.
In todays’ world, transport choke points are unavoidable, a feature of an unsustainable, #globalized world.
The #RedSea passage #BabElMandab is one of those, critical because of the #MiddleEast's central importance to the world's #EnergyEconomy
Agree to the rich world's desired outcome, before building the systems that made it rich? You get one form #CarbonColonialism
Then again, too much of a system focus, you get the excesses of the gilded age.
Better a #FailedState than a crazy kingdom.
A failed state is like a broken clock; it is broken, but may still be right twice day. On the other hand, a crazy kingdom is like an off clock; if it is off by 5%, it is only right once every 10 days.
...In addition, in a failed state, you and your community stand a chance to grow and succeed; the crazy king can't easily reach you, unlike in our modern anarcho-tyranny
